This hardly comes as a surprise to me because in 1980 when the first major push was initiated by industry into alternate energy, I was the chief technologist for General Electric's heating and cooling division and I spent most of my time shutting down bad technology investments in so-called promising endeavors. GE executives had similar perception as today's politicians that it was just a matter of time and enough money and these technologies could be made competitive. That view derives from non-technology competent investors enthusiastically motivated self-serving researchers seeking funding.
What most of this cadre choose to ignore is technology miracles do not happen overnight. They result from an ongoing evolution. The so-called break-through inventions have had decades of work by thousands of researchers. Technology futures can usually be forecasted and "mapped" with remarkable accuracy. It's just a matter of identifying the what's limiting a device from being competitive and mapping the life-cycle of work to eliminate that bottle-neck. Old technologies far-down their life-cycles can not be made to perform like new technology with large infusions of cash.
In the case of so-called "green" energy Leyland Consultants have done this examination and published, New Renewable Energy Technologies: a monstrous boondoggle? They have concluded:
1. New renewable energy technologies provide electricity that is expensive and intermittent and imposes many additional costs on the power system. Because they are intermittent, they can never play more than a bit part in electricity generation.2. Nuclear power and fossil fuels can provide a reliable and economic supply of all theelectricity we need for the foreseeable future3.There is increasing evidence that man-made carbon dioxide does not cause dangerousglobal warming. This being the case, there is no need to promote expensive renewableenergy to reduce emissions of a harmless gas that promotes the growth of plants
No comments:
Post a Comment