Sunday, April 10, 2022

Mearsheimer and Putin Lies?

For me, the fundamental complaint that Putin had with the West was – West’s failure to abide by its agreement not to expand NATO east of East Germany.

Mearsheimer stated in his presentation that all his claims were documented and not just opinion. It was the basis of Putin’s 2007 Munich speech.

Putin quoted a 1990 speech by Manfred Wörner to support his position that NATO made a binding promise not to expand NATO into new countries in Eastern Europe:

He said at the time that: "the fact that we are ready not to place a NATO army outside of German territory gives the Soviet Union a firm security guarantee." Where are these guarantees?

A claim of this magnitude should certainly be documented. So I searched for a copy of the claim. All results professed “No such written agreement exists.”

I have attached two fact checks: Politifact and Brookings

https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2022/feb/28/candace-owens/fact-checking-claims-nato-us-broke-agreement-again/

https://www.brookings.edu/blog/up-front/2014/11/06/did-nato-promise-not-to-enlarge-gorbachev-says-no/

Putin may have valid paranoia arguments, but this NATO claim is false.

Saturday, April 9, 2022

Russia - Ukraine

Many years ago, I learned to recognize when I am being conned -- especially when story does not make sense or is illogical.

I am wanted to believe one guy wears the “white” hat and the other has the “black” hat.” This Russia-Ukraine is a classic. The whole thing does not make sense.

The guys with the “white” hats want me to believe the other guy has to be obviously insane. That is the only explanation for something so bizarre and absurd. The “white hats” don’t want me to make sense about the weirdness. Something doesn’t seem right.To make me not want to put my brain in order, they obfuscate with overwhelm amounts of propaganda.

When I read this YouTube video (Why is Ukraine the West's Fault? Featuring John Mearsheimer), I heard an apparent answer of what was happening in March 2022. It was almost letter by letter what I was being heard. Nothing was ambiguous. Nothing was illogical. It was an explanation “after the fact” for today’s actions for Putin, as if Mearsheimer wrote it yesterday. 

The problem was -- this lecture was in 2015 and not in 2022.

I thought of the Monroe Doctrine and how America was ready to risk nuclear war in Cuba. Unquestionably, Ukraine is an identical situation.

I suspect Putin thought he only had to threat like Kennedy did with Khrushchev. He guessed wrong. He had to follow through.

He thought the Russian military could make this quick job. Again, he guessed wrong.

He thought NATO was a paper tiger. He appears to be wrong.

The American administrations want us to believe the Russian people will rise up against Putin. Just squeeze the populace. They are wrong. Millions of people have a history of suffering and dying. Americans are clueless about that life.

In 2015, Putin told the world and Russian people what he would do. He is doing it “letter by letter” AND he has the Russian people overwhelming behind him. 

Don’t believe the contrary BS from the “white hats.”

The “white hats” (and China) are gleeful. They are destroying the Russian military and its country at Ukraine’s expense. The only question is how long will this farce continue.

I remember when Russia was in its ten year Afghanistan war. It destroyed Russian economy. Surely, America would not be that stupid. Surely, they remember the geniuses in the idiotic domino strategy in Vietnam. Fortunately, we had available trillions of dollars to throw away. Just borrow the treasury of our generations.

Russia does not have generations. It is literally dying now. Ukraine is their last hurrah. They are totally done, except for a few thousand nuclear weapons

Everyone can continue to swallow the “white hat” propaganda. Anybody remember their story of Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction? I think they tried that one to the world once before.

However, John McCain’s statement is prophetic. Ukraine for Russia and Putin is strategic. They are literally against the wall (or border). It is just a small pawn for America.

Everyone can guess who has the most to lose. What is Putin’s Doctrine? What’s the final game?

Saturday, April 2, 2022

Global Temperature - 02/22

Global Temperature Page

WattsUpWithThat (WUWT) cannot vouch for the accuracy of the data within this page, as all of the data is linked from third party sources and WUWT is simply an aggregator.

Wednesday, March 2, 2022

A Life Preserver for Staying Afloat in a Sea of Misinformation

Melanie Trecek-King goals as a science educator are to teach students the essential skills of science literacy and critical thinking. Helping them understand the process of science and how to draw reasonable conclusions from the available evidence can empower them to make better decisions and protect them from being fooled or harmed.

Yet while educators agree that these skills are important, the stubborn persistence of pseudoscientific and irrational beliefs demonstrates that we have plenty of room for improvement. To help address this problem, she developed a general-education science course (Trecek-King 2022) that, instead of teaching science as a collection of facts to memorize, teaches students how to evaluate the evidence for claims to determine how we know something and recognize the characteristics of good science by evaluating bad science, pseudoscience, and science denial.

https://skepticalinquirer.org/2022/02/a-life-preserver-for-staying-afloat-in-a-sea-of-misinformation/

Sunday, February 6, 2022

Only in Tennessee?

On January 10, 2022, in an unanimous vote, the board of trustees of east Tennessee McMinn County Schools removed the Pulitzer Prize winning Maus from its eight-grade schools curriculum. The board said the book had "rough language" and "unnecessary" profanity (e.g. eight words, including "damn"), a small drawing of a nude woman drawn as a mouse, mentions of murder, violence, and suicide. 

The board declared it did not concur with its community values. "It shows people hanging, it shows them killing kids." 

Board member Tony Allman said, according to meeting minutes. "Why does the educational system promote this kind of stuff? It is not wise or healthy."   

On February 2, 2022 head pastor Greg Locke at Global Vision Bible Church of Tennessee led a book burning of  copies of "Harry Potter" and "Twilight" to rid "demonic" influences. The event was live-streamed on Facebook to denounce "witchcraft," and rid of "demonic" influences.

He said in an Instagram post."It's witchcraft 100 percent."

The "Harry Potter" books have been banned several times before. In 2019, Tennessee pastor Father Dan Reehil of the Catholic academy of St. Edward School removed the popular book series from the school's library, saying in part in an email

"These books present magic as both good and evil, which is not true, but in fact a clever deception. The curses and spells used in the books are actual curses and spells; which when read by a human being risk conjuring evil spirits into the presence of the person reading the text. I have consulted several exorcists, both in the United States and in Rome, and they have recommended removing the books from circulation."

Thursday, January 6, 2022

January 6th

January 6th demonstrates the damage of misinformation. Even more disconcerting is the preference of the major portion of a political party to prefer the lie, to prefer the misinformation. I always hoped we could rely on truth whether or not we like it. When some people force their incompetence and poor mental capacity, whether political or religious, then the populace suffers.

Here's is Biden's the full 1/6/22 speech transcript.

Friday, December 17, 2021

Middle Tennessee Tornadoes

The December 11, 2021 will tie as Middle Tennessee’s fifth-largest tornado outbreak ever.
There were 15 tornadoes in Middle Tennessee on Saturday.That is on top of five other tornadoes earlier in the month.

According to the National Weather Service, the timing is also unusual.
From 1811 to 2020, there had only been 16 tornadoes in December in Middle Tennessee.

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN

900 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021